Researchers have created a prediction method that comes startlingly close to real-world results. It works by aiming for strong alignment with actual values rather than simply reducing mistakes. Tests ...

The SEC earlier this year dropped its appeal against Ripple, a fintech company that uses XRP to facilitate fast and cheap cross-border transactions. Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse estimates that the XRP ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. I’m a business reporter and the founder of Vivid Minds. "Prediction markets… do a very, very good job at distilling information ...

Prediction markets have moved from academic curiosities to regulated financial venues, but the regulatory environment that governs them is still evolving. Wealth management executives now face a new ...

The gambling industry has been actively voicing its concern about the encroachment of prediction markets on sports betting. Critics say prediction markets are little more but sports betting with some ...

Prediction markets companies are likely to see their revenues grow by a factor of five to more than $10 billion by 2030, according to analysts at Citizens Financial Group Inc. Companies like Kalshi ...

Kalshi's latest deal follows other partnerships including with Google Finance, the National Hockey League, and Robinhood. Other prediction markets, and those interested in developing them have inked ...

Wall Street seems convinced that prediction markets are here to stay, cementing the status of platforms like the crypto-based prediction market Polymarket as a dominant fintech player. Launched in ...

The fund-raising effort, the company’s third this year, values it at $11 billion, and comes amid stiff competition in the increasingly popular industry. By Michael J. de la Merced The surging ...

The Chicago Bears take on the Philadelphia Eagles in a battle of first-place teams in a key NFC battle in the 2025 NFL Black Friday game. Chicago is coming off a 31-28 win over the Pittsburgh Steelers ...

Mathematicians may have a better way to measure agreement across different datasets. Agreement affects reproducibility, meta-analysis, and prediction to fill in missing data points. We need a more ...

The Houston Texans eye their third consecutive win when they take on the Buffalo Bills in a key 'Thursday Night Football' matchup. Buffalo is coming off a 44-32 win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, ...